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TSLA vs SPY

Total return with dividends reinvested · 5Y

Open chart
TSLATesla, Inc.SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
-50%-25%0%+25%+50%+75%10-25’2108-23’2206-22’2304-19’2402-19’2512-16TSLA +13.1%SPY +81.5%lopjlb.com
TSLA
SPY

Return and risk 5Y

Ticker$10K becameTotalPer yearVolatilityWorst dropOff high nowBest yearWorst yearYears upCorr. with TSLA
TSLA$11,313+13.13%+2.50%59.7%-73.63%-21.11%+129.86% 2023-69.20% 202275%—
SPY$18,151+81.51%+12.69%17.2%-24.49%-0.77%+26.73% 2023-18.64% 202275%0.59
TSLA
$10K became
$11,313
Total
+13.13%
Per year
+2.50%
Volatility
59.7%
Worst drop
-73.63%
Off high now
-21.11%
Best year
+129.86% 2023
Worst year
-69.20% 2022
SPY
$10K became
$18,151
Total
+81.51%
Per year
+12.69%
Volatility
17.2%
Worst drop
-24.49%
Off high now
-0.77%
Best year
+26.73% 2023
Worst year
-18.64% 2022

Per year is the compound annual growth rate and needs a year of history. Volatility is the yearly spread of daily returns. Best and worst years count full calendar years only.

Drawdown from peak 5Y

0%-40%-80%
2021-102026-10

Correlation of daily returns

TSLASPYTSLA1.000.59SPY0.591.00

1 moves together, 0 unrelated, negative moves opposite. Lower correlation means more diversification.

Trailing returns up to 5 years

Ticker1Y2Y3Y5Y
TSLA————
SPY————

Calendar-year returns best each year in bold

YearTSLASPY
No full years in this range yet.

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About this comparison

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) total return over 5Y: TSLA +13.13%, SPY +81.51%. Regime TSLA RECOVERY. As of Oct 21, 2026. Research only.

Desk note, written 2026-10-16. Its figures are as of that date; the tables above are live.

Tesla (TSLA) closed at $362.4, down 1.29% as of 2026‑10‑15. The growth‑oriented stock sits in a bear‑type market regime and carries a “Growth Compounder” archetype. Over the past five years its total‑return overlay, which includes dividends and splits, has risen +25.0%. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) finished at $771.8, up 0.28% on 2026‑10‑15. It remains in a bullish regime, is classified as “Balanced,” and has delivered a +84.6% total‑return overlay across the same five‑year window. While both instruments reflect the broader market pulse, SPY’s broader exposure has generated a markedly higher five‑year return than the single‑stock, high‑growth profile of TSLA. Readers can open each stock’s page for the full overlay methodology and detailed signal breakdown.

What does the TSLA vs SPY overlay show?

LOPJLB overlays TSLA vs SPY as total return (dividends and splits) from the first adjusted close in the selected 5Y window. Each path starts at 0% so you can read relative holding performance, not raw tape price.

Is this holding return or tape close?

Holding return. The series uses split- and dividend-adjusted close (Yahoo-style backward adjustment) when dividend coverage is sufficient, otherwise it falls back to tape close. Candles and technical overlays on /chart stay tape.

Which windows are public?

Public visitors can share 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y, and 5Y. MAX is Research+. Direction and regime in the table follow the desk ladder: SPY25 on Free, full book on Essential+.

How do I read the drawdown, period, and annual tables?

Drawdowns are current and worst peak-to-trough on the visible range. Periods are calendar lookbacks (1Y / 2Y / 3Y / 5Y, plus 10Y on MAX) from the last bar. Annual is calendar-year holding return, with the latest year labeled YTD.

How has TSLA vs SPY performed on a normalized basis?

TSLA vs SPY holding-return overlay: 5Y TSLA +13.13% · SPY +81.51%; worst drawdown TSLA -73.63% · SPY -24.49%; YTD TSLA -11.78% · SPY +14.05%. Numbers update from the live compare-series book.

Is ticker compare investment advice?

No. The overlay is research context only — not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Related: TSLA, SPY, methodology, chart