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NVDA vs SPY

Total return with dividends reinvested · 5Y

Open chart
NVDANVIDIA CorporationSPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
0%+165%+330%+495%+660%+825%10-25’2108-23’2206-22’2304-19’2402-19’2512-16NVDA +862.2%SPY +81.5%lopjlb.com
NVDA
SPY

Return and risk 5Y

Ticker$10K becameTotalPer yearVolatilityWorst dropOff high nowBest yearWorst yearYears upCorr. with NVDA
NVDA$96,221+862.21%+57.44%52.0%-66.33%-7.22%+245.97% 2023-51.45% 202275%—
SPY$18,151+81.51%+12.69%17.2%-24.49%-0.77%+26.73% 2023-18.64% 202275%0.71
NVDA
$10K became
$96,221
Total
+862.21%
Per year
+57.44%
Volatility
52.0%
Worst drop
-66.33%
Off high now
-7.22%
Best year
+245.97% 2023
Worst year
-51.45% 2022
SPY
$10K became
$18,151
Total
+81.51%
Per year
+12.69%
Volatility
17.2%
Worst drop
-24.49%
Off high now
-0.77%
Best year
+26.73% 2023
Worst year
-18.64% 2022

Per year is the compound annual growth rate and needs a year of history. Volatility is the yearly spread of daily returns. Best and worst years count full calendar years only.

Drawdown from peak 5Y

0%-35%-70%
2021-102026-10

Correlation of daily returns

NVDASPYNVDA1.000.71SPY0.711.00

1 moves together, 0 unrelated, negative moves opposite. Lower correlation means more diversification.

Trailing returns up to 5 years

Ticker1Y2Y3Y5Y
NVDA————
SPY————

Calendar-year returns best each year in bold

YearNVDASPY
No full years in this range yet.

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About this comparison

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) total return over 5Y: NVDA +862.21%, SPY +81.51%. Regime NVDA BEAR. As of Oct 21, 2026. Research only.

Desk note, written 2026-10-13. Its figures are as of that date; the tables above are live.

NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $228.5, up 0.97% as of 2026‑10‑13. The Growth‑Compounder signal remains bullish, with a modest score of 1 and the market still in a bull regime. Over the past five years the stock’s total‑return overlay—including dividends and splits—has surged +955.3%, reflecting the rapid expansion of its AI‑driven data‑center business and resilient margins despite supply‑chain headwinds. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) finished the same session at $778.0, down 0.01%. Its Balanced archetype also carries a BUY signal, now with a stronger score of 5. The fund’s five‑year total‑return overlay sits at +88.1%, mirroring the broader market’s steady, dividend‑enhanced appreciation. While both instruments sit in a bullish market pulse, NVDA’s overlay outpaces SPY by an order of magnitude, underscoring a markedly higher growth trajectory versus the index’s steadier income‑focused profile. Readers can open the individual stock pages or methodology notes for full overlay detail.

What does the NVDA vs SPY overlay show?

LOPJLB overlays NVDA vs SPY as total return (dividends and splits) from the first adjusted close in the selected 5Y window. Each path starts at 0% so you can read relative holding performance, not raw tape price.

Is this holding return or tape close?

Holding return. The series uses split- and dividend-adjusted close (Yahoo-style backward adjustment) when dividend coverage is sufficient, otherwise it falls back to tape close. Candles and technical overlays on /chart stay tape.

Which windows are public?

Public visitors can share 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y, and 5Y. MAX is Research+. Direction and regime in the table follow the desk ladder: SPY25 on Free, full book on Essential+.

How do I read the drawdown, period, and annual tables?

Drawdowns are current and worst peak-to-trough on the visible range. Periods are calendar lookbacks (1Y / 2Y / 3Y / 5Y, plus 10Y on MAX) from the last bar. Annual is calendar-year holding return, with the latest year labeled YTD.

How has NVDA vs SPY performed on a normalized basis?

NVDA vs SPY holding-return overlay: 5Y NVDA +862.21% · SPY +81.51%; worst drawdown NVDA -66.33% · SPY -24.49%; YTD NVDA +17.81% · SPY +14.05%. Numbers update from the live compare-series book.

Is ticker compare investment advice?

No. The overlay is research context only — not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Related: NVDA, SPY, methodology, chart