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WMT vs TGT

Total return with dividends reinvested · 5Y

Open chart
WMTWalmart Inc.TGTTarget Corporation
-41%0%+41%+82%+123%+164%10-25’2108-23’2206-22’2304-19’2402-19’2512-16WMT +150.7%TGT -31.5%lopjlb.com
WMT
TGT

Return and risk 5Y

Ticker$10K becameTotalPer yearVolatilityWorst dropOff high nowBest yearWorst yearYears upCorr. with WMT
WMT$25,073+150.73%+20.23%22.6%-25.74%-12.01%+72.18% 2024-0.45% 202275%—
TGT$6,853-31.47%-7.30%36.1%-64.32%-33.25%-2.60% 2024-34.41% 20220%0.34
WMT
$10K became
$25,073
Total
+150.73%
Per year
+20.23%
Volatility
22.6%
Worst drop
-25.74%
Off high now
-12.01%
Best year
+72.18% 2024
Worst year
-0.45% 2022
TGT
$10K became
$6,853
Total
-31.47%
Per year
-7.30%
Volatility
36.1%
Worst drop
-64.32%
Off high now
-33.25%
Best year
-2.60% 2024
Worst year
-34.41% 2022

Per year is the compound annual growth rate and needs a year of history. Volatility is the yearly spread of daily returns. Best and worst years count full calendar years only.

Drawdown from peak 5Y

0%-35%-70%
2021-102026-10

Correlation of daily returns

WMTTGTWMT1.000.34TGT0.341.00

1 moves together, 0 unrelated, negative moves opposite. Lower correlation means more diversification.

Trailing returns up to 5 years

Ticker1Y2Y3Y5Y
WMT————
TGT————

Calendar-year returns best each year in bold

YearWMTTGT
No full years in this range yet.

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About this comparison

Walmart Inc. (WMT) vs Target Corporation (TGT) total return over 5Y: WMT +150.73%, TGT -31.47%. Regime WMT RECOVERY. As of Oct 21, 2026. Research only.

Desk note, written 2026-10-16. Its figures are as of that date; the tables above are live.

Walmart (WMT) closed at $118.8 on 2026‑10‑16, up 0.80% in the session. Over a five‑year horizon the total‑return overlay—including dividends and splits—registers a strong +167.8% gain. Target (TGT) finished at $154.3 on the same date, down 1.51%, and its five‑year overlay is a ‑28.8% decline. The overlay issues a BUY signal for WMT (score 5) in a recovery regime, with a Balanced archetype. TGT carries a SELL signal (score ‑3) in a bear regime, classified as a Dividend Compounder (blended). Both sit in Consumer Defensive, yet Walmart’s higher quality score (32.26) and upbeat

What does the WMT vs TGT overlay show?

LOPJLB overlays WMT vs TGT as total return (dividends and splits) from the first adjusted close in the selected 5Y window. Each path starts at 0% so you can read relative holding performance, not raw tape price.

Is this holding return or tape close?

Holding return. The series uses split- and dividend-adjusted close (Yahoo-style backward adjustment) when dividend coverage is sufficient, otherwise it falls back to tape close. Candles and technical overlays on /chart stay tape.

Which windows are public?

Public visitors can share 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y, and 5Y. MAX is Research+. Direction and regime in the table follow the desk ladder: SPY25 on Free, full book on Essential+.

How do I read the drawdown, period, and annual tables?

Drawdowns are current and worst peak-to-trough on the visible range. Periods are calendar lookbacks (1Y / 2Y / 3Y / 5Y, plus 10Y on MAX) from the last bar. Annual is calendar-year holding return, with the latest year labeled YTD.

How has WMT vs TGT performed on a normalized basis?

WMT vs TGT holding-return overlay: 5Y WMT +150.73% · TGT -31.47%; worst drawdown WMT -25.74% · TGT -64.32%; YTD WMT +5.14% · TGT +55.77%. Numbers update from the live compare-series book.

Is ticker compare investment advice?

No. The overlay is research context only — not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Related: WMT, TGT, methodology, chart