# Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) · total-return overlay

LOPJLB holding-return compare (5Y). Dividends and splits. Each path starts at 0% from the first adjusted close in the window.

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) total return over 5Y: TMF -88.55%, SPY +84.07%. Regime TMF RECOVERY · SPY BULL. As of Oct 14, 2026. Research only.

- Interactive: https://www.lopjlb.com/vs/TMF/SPY
- API: `GET /bff/api/bigfive/compare-series?symbols=TMF%2CSPY&range=5y`

## Window

| Symbol | Window % | Worst drawdown | YTD |
|---|---:|---:|---:|
| TMF | -88.55% | -90.93% | -25.42% |
| SPY | +84.07% | -24.49% | +13.53% |

## Periods (calendar lookback)

| Symbol | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | 5Y |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| TMF | -34.04% | -42.35% | -31.95% | -88.55% |
| SPY | +17.47% | +34.75% | +83.03% | +84.07% |

## Annual

| Year | TMF | SPY |
|---|---:|---:|
| YTD | -25.42% | +13.53% |
| 2025 | -3.65% | +18.01% |
| 2024 | -34.59% | +25.59% |
| 2023 | -17.40% | +26.73% |
| 2022 | -70.36% | -18.64% |
| 2021 | +4.11% | +6.59% |

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Research context only. Not personalized investment advice.