# Prediction Markets

Machine-readable summary of LOPJLB finance/macro prediction markets (Kalshi + Polymarket).

Canonical URL: https://www.lopjlb.com/prediction-markets

## Public API (no auth)

Base: `https://www.lopjlb.com/bff/api/`

```bash
curl -s https://www.lopjlb.com/bff/api/prediction-markets/summary
curl -s 'https://www.lopjlb.com/bff/api/prediction-markets/markets?limit=20'
curl -s 'https://www.lopjlb.com/bff/api/prediction-markets/markets?venue=kalshi&category=fed'
curl -s 'https://www.lopjlb.com/bff/api/prediction-markets/symbol/SPY'
```

## Page patterns

| Path | Purpose |
|---|---|
| `/prediction-markets` | Hub: filters by venue, category, ticker, search |
| `/prediction-markets/stock/{SYMBOL}` | Markets linked to a LOPJLB ticker |

## Notes

- Yes-prices are market-implied probabilities from third-party venues.
- Macro series (Fed, CPI, jobs, recession) map to ETFs such as SPY, QQQ, TLT.
- Equity links use title/alias heuristics — venues do not publish official stock tickers.
- Research context only. Not investment advice. LOPJLB does not execute prediction-market trades.

## FAQ

**What prediction markets does LOPJLB show?**
Finance and macro contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket — Federal Reserve decisions, inflation, jobs, growth/recession, indices, crypto, and equity-linked narratives — refreshed about every 30 minutes.

**How are markets linked to stock tickers?**
Macro series are mapped to related ETFs. Company and index names in titles are matched heuristically to LOPJLB symbols.

**Are these odds investment advice?**
No. Displayed yes-prices are market-implied probabilities for research context only.

**Can I trade from LOPJLB?**
No. Links open Kalshi or Polymarket. We do not execute trades.

Related: [Treasury yields](https://www.lopjlb.com/treasury-rates) · [Congress trades](https://www.lopjlb.com/congress-trades) · [Economic calendar](https://www.lopjlb.com/calendar)